Kenya’s Deputy President, Rigathi Gachagua, has signaled an impending political battle with President William Ruto as he announces plans to launch a new political party. The move is seen as a direct challenge to Ruto’s dominance within the ruling United Democratic Alliance (UDA) and could significantly reshape Kenya’s political landscape ahead of the 2027 elections.
Why Is Gachagua Forming a New Party?
Gachagua has been increasingly vocal about his dissatisfaction with the political direction of the UDA, particularly regarding the treatment of leaders from the Mount Kenya region. He has positioned himself as the defender of Mount Kenya’s political and economic interests, arguing that the region is not getting its fair share in the Ruto administration.
By launching his own party, Gachagua could be seeking:
- Political Leverage: Creating a bargaining tool to solidify his influence in government.
- Mount Kenya Representation: Consolidating the region’s votes under his leadership.
- 2027 Strategy: Preparing for a potential presidential bid or stronger negotiating power within the next elections.
Implications for Ruto and UDA
Gachagua’s move could significantly weaken UDA by dividing the Mount Kenya vote, which played a crucial role in Ruto’s 2022 victory. If key political figures in the region rally behind him, it could force Ruto into intense negotiations or even a major realignment of alliances.
However, Ruto’s camp may push back by reinforcing UDA’s grip on Mount Kenya and attempting to isolate Gachagua politically. The coming months could see increased political tensions as both sides fight for control over one of Kenya’s most influential voting blocs.